# SSC 319-Compute a 3-month weighted moving average

SSC 319-Compute a 3-month weighted moving average
1) Compute a 3-month weighted moving average forecast for November.
Assume weights are 9, 5, 1, on Oct., Sep., Aug., respectively
2) Compute the single exponential smoothing forecast for November. Use smoothing constant alpha = 0.37. Assume forecast for January was 105.
3) Compute a trend projection line for the time series. Forecast orders delivered for the upcoming January. Round the answer to nearest integer.
4) Compute 2-month moving average forecasts for the time series and compute MAD.
5) Compute 2-month moving average forecasts for the time series and compute MAPD.
What is MAPD?
Month
Jan.
Feb.
March
April
May
June
July
Aug.
Sep.
Oct. Orders
Delivere
d
120
90
100
75
110
50
75
130
111
94